You Won’t Believe Who Is Predicting a String of Sanders Victories

Bernie Sanders, Primary Map
Photo credit: Adapted by WhoWhatWhy from Gage Skidmore / Flickr (CC BY-SA 2.0)
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An unlikely source is predicting that Bernie Sanders will score a string of caucus victories in the coming week: Hillary Clinton’s campaign manager Robby Mook.

In a memo on the state of the race following Clinton’s big wins on Tuesday, Mook points out that the campaign of the former Secretary of State is expecting a rough stretch ahead.

“Looking ahead to the rest of March, Sen. Sanders is poised to have a stretch of very favorable states vote, including 5 caucuses next week, which he is likely to win, and the primary in Arizona, in which he has invested more than $1.5 million in ads,” Mook wrote.

While campaigns often try to lower expectations as a way of hyping eventual results, that passage of the memo runs counter to the narrative Clinton’s campaign is trying to sell: That she has pretty much wrapped up the Democratic nomination and has her sights set on a general election matchup with Donald Trump.

While Sanders’s path to erasing Clinton’s 300-plus lead in pledged delegates is daunting, the contests Mook cites could substantially narrow the gap if he manages to string together five or six big wins.

That’s not what the Clinton campaign wants anybody to believe, of course.

“Our pledged delegate lead is so significant that even a string of victories by Sen. Sanders over the next few weeks would have little impact on Sec. Clinton’s position in the race,” Mook said in his memo to journalists.

At best, that is half true. Even with the Clinton campaign lowering expectations, a string of six Sanders wins this month would change the narrative of the race yet again. And if those wins are big enough, the delegate math will shift into territory that could add new excitement to primaries in big states like New York, Pennsylvania and California later in the spring.

On the off-chance that Sanders wins them all, he might have enough pledged delegates to throw the final decision into the hands of the so-called superdelegates — Democratic Party bigwigs who will come to the nominating convention in July unpledged.

Sanders would then be poised to make the argument to superdelegates that he is the candidate with momentum — and with the best chance of winning the general election over the Republican standard bearer.


Related front page panorama photo credit: Adapted by WhoWhatWhy from  Background (Michael Vadon / Flickr)

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22 responses to “You Won’t Believe Who Is Predicting a String of Sanders Victories”

  1. Nelson Jacobsen says:

    There’s an unreported cost to work for Bernie’s competitor, and that is the possibility of having to hire a lawyer to help defend work that was demanded of you during government or foundation service, and is now being investigated by Congress, Grand Jury, the FBI – and who knows what’s next. Good luck with that albatross.

  2. Jeff Grotke says:

    At the end of the day, I have to blame Black Lives Matter for their incredibly ignorant and shortsighted targeting of Bernie Sanders, at an early stage. They did this despite the fact that an increased minimum wage would benefit the black community greatly, and despite his history of working for civil rights. They made him look like the enemy and black voters, in huge numbers, have never given him a chance. Without the support of the southern black democrats, Clinton would be behind. And BTW, Clinton will lose all those southern states anyhow. So congratulations BLM.

  3. soularddave says:

    I’m also considering three other things:
    Negative polling numbers
    people under 30 polls
    individual candidate match-ups every way

    This is only the *next* election and we’re talking about the whole political revolution. Look forward two years and four years when millions of younger voters come of age and many older voters will no longer be voting. Also consider the above when thinking ahead to Congressional elections.

    The political revolution could be full and complete in just a few years, and it could also be neat and orderly if everyone just sticks to the process and doesn’t let “corporate interests” intervene. We’re proving that media, corporatists, and entrenched political machinery can’t necessarily rule the day or hijack OUR election.

    Stay tuned on gerrymandering, voter disenfranchisement, and voting machines.

  4. Prometheus_Wept says:

    Help!

    I know that everything is always a right wing conspiracy, but at least these sources are harder for lefties to discredit.

  5. grumpyhillbilly says:

    If Sanders wins these primaries decisively, does that give the DOJ freedom to indict the hideous Mrs. Clinton? Or will she be considered the best option to get GOP establishment votes, if Trump should get the party’s nomination?

  6. Franklin82 says:

    I’m not terribly worried. Clinton has a good shot in Arizona, which has a larger delegate haul than the next few contests combined. Bern needs to make the most of those contests because by the time we roll around to Wisconsin, New York, Penn, etc., the primaries are closed contests. Without independents throwing a wrench in the works, he has little chance to blow her out in those contests. That is, of course, assuming he will win those contests in the first place. If he beats her in New York, I will consider eating my hat. Not likely.

    • Prometheus_Wept says:

      He’s winning here in Wisconsin.

    • punchinella says:

      Independents are not a wrench in the works-the independent vote is going to make a huge impact on the national election. They overwhelmingly support either Trump or Bernie.

  7. bruce wm sargent says:

    Did I say thank you? No I didn’t. and a need to take a moment to do that…who is better than you? nobody! You guys are the best! Thank you!!

  8. pnwfemale says:

    We not Me. Bernie’s campaign has been about all of us. He’s a statesman and probably the most honest member of Congress. He sees what the people need/want and will do what he can to get the job done.

    Hillary, on the other hand, is an ambitious woman. Her goal is to be the first female President and she will do and say whatever it takes to get there.

    Perhaps there will be a time when the US will have its first female President; but, I don’t believe it should be Hillary. Honestly, if we could find a woman with the record that Bernie has, that’s the woman that should be President.

  9. Westcoastdeplorable says:

    Bernie’s in it for the long haul because, he might just beat her, plus, who knows, indictments? One thing’s for sure, Trump would mop the floor with Hillary; not so much with Bernie.

    • Franklin82 says:

      Won’t be any indictments. Keep dreaming. Also, he polls about three percentage points better than she does against Trump, but they are both polling as capable of beating him. Take that spin somewhere else.

    • Kerry Blake says:

      Check out the General Election Matchups:
      Facts are friends and Bernie beats Hillary hands down.

    • Franklin82 says:

      See my previous comment. Already looked at the facts. He polls a few percentage points better than she does, but she still beats Trump without question. Point is moot, kiddo.

    • chris brown says:

      he is beating Trump in conservative UTAH by 11 points

    • Jane Dough says:

      60% of women will not vote for Trump. Actually I hope Trump is the Republican nomination – because he won’t win in a general election!

  10. 0040 says:

    The only way Billary gains the POTUS chair is if Bernie can deliver a large number of his acolytes to her. There is nothing to be gained from changing horses in mid-stream for the billionaires backing the Dems.

    • Franklin82 says:

      That’s cute. I will probably giggle about that when I’m at the convention in Philly when and if she’s accepting the nomination.

    • goingnowherefast says:

      A female neocon is still a neocon. Just because there’s a D next to her name doesn’t make her the progressive she is marketing herself as. Unless of course, you want a neocon in the White House.

    • jallenmitchell says:

      Actually, William, you’re the one who’s cute. A large number of us Sanders’ supporters will not vote for Clinton under any circumstance. We, simply, will not vote if she is nominated. Laugh all you want: she can’t win without us and we won’t be there for her because we don’t buy into the oligarchy that we already have.

    • Franklin82 says:

      Well, that’s fantastic because a large number of GOP won’t vote for Trump. You guys can just cross lines together and make it a wash.

    • Notta1 says:

      If Hillary is the democratic nominee, I, as a lifelong democrat, will not be voting Democrat.